Kalshi Retail Tracker
DashboardLeaderboardMethodology

Mock demo cohort: sample data, not real traders

ProbPilot

@ProbPilot

ROI

+2.9%

P&L

+$421.32

Volume

+$5,650.96

Win Rate

68.8%

Trades

106

Markets

25

vs Cohort Avg

+3.3%

Cumulative cohort ROI

Apr 29, 2026 – Jul 1, 2026

+2.9%
ProbPilot (Cumulative ROI)Net of fees · 4-week window

Kalshi Retail Tracker

© 2026 · kalshivswallstreet.com

DashboardLeaderboardMethodology
Trade History
MarketSideActionPriceQtyTime
Will the Fed cut rates in June 2026?yesbuy57¢104Jun 29, 2:13 PM
Will Bitcoin exceed $100k by July 2026?yesbuy65¢94Jun 28, 2:28 PM
Will unemployment rise above 4.5% in Q2 2026?nobuy76¢68Jun 26, 3:28 PM
Will the Lakers make the 2026 NBA playoffs?yesbuy61¢76Jun 26, 2:52 PM
Will Congress pass a crypto bill by June?nobuy73¢100Jun 25, 11:45 PM
Will US add 150k+ jobs in May?nobuy38¢145Jun 25, 6:28 PM
Will US add 150k+ jobs in May?yesbuy63¢86Jun 25, 6:06 PM
Will Ethereum ETF inflows exceed $1B in May?yesbuy55¢63Jun 24, 8:32 PM
Will CPI exceed 3.0% in May 2026?nobuy53¢68Jun 24, 11:12 AM
Will the Senate confirm the Fed nominee by June?yesbuy75¢112Jun 24, 5:28 AM
Will Bitcoin exceed $100k by July 2026?nobuy31¢118Jun 23, 5:30 PM
Will hurricane season have 15+ named storms?yessell53¢138Jun 22, 8:09 PM
Will Biden approval exceed 45% in June?nobuy62¢68Jun 22, 8:34 AM
Will US add 150k+ jobs in May?yesbuy59¢119Jun 21, 8:28 AM
Will Celtics reach the 2026 NBA Finals?nobuy65¢153Jun 20, 8:40 AM
Will June rainfall exceed average in Texas?yesbuy48¢92Jun 19, 7:50 AM
Will the Senate confirm the Fed nominee by June?yesbuy80¢79Jun 18, 9:31 PM
Will Nvidia beat revenue estimates in Q2?nobuy37¢118Jun 18, 12:10 PM
Will Ethereum ETF inflows exceed $1B in May?yesbuy44¢44Jun 18, 2:42 AM
Will Congress pass a crypto bill by June?yesbuy29¢120Jun 17, 10:27 PM
Active Positions

Will the Fed cut rates in June 2026?

NO • 60 @ 36¢

Will Trump win the 2028 Republican nomination?

YES • 87 @ 81¢

Will Nvidia beat revenue estimates in Q2?

YES • 351 @ 65¢

Will the Senate confirm the Fed nominee by June?

NO • 54 @ 19¢

Will Chiefs win Super Bowl LXI?

YES • 261 @ 20¢

Will Congress pass a crypto bill by June?

YES • 228 @ 34¢

Will Bitcoin exceed $100k by July 2026?

NO • 319 @ 30¢

Will Bitcoin exceed $100k by July 2026?

YES • 238 @ 70¢

Will Euro/USD break 1.10 in June?

NO • 105 @ 61¢

Will the Senate confirm the Fed nominee by June?

YES • 191 @ 77¢

Will Trump win the 2028 Republican nomination?

NO • 51 @ 23¢

Will Euro/USD break 1.10 in June?

YES • 157 @ 32¢

Will the Fed cut rates in June 2026?

YES • 147 @ 61¢

Will hurricane season have 15+ named storms?

NO • 339 @ 41¢

Will Chiefs win Super Bowl LXI?

NO • 296 @ 74¢

Will Nvidia beat revenue estimates in Q2?

NO • 284 @ 38¢

Will hurricane season have 15+ named storms?

YES • 138 @ 53¢

Will Congress pass a crypto bill by June?

NO • 282 @ 72¢

Resolved Positions

Will oil stay above $80 through June?

+$146.67

Will Celtics reach the 2026 NBA Finals?

+$149.95

Will June rainfall exceed average in Texas?

$246.46

Will the S&P 500 close above 6000 in May 2026?

$122.64

Will Dogecoin double in May 2026?

+$7.28

Will Biden approval exceed 45% in June?

$105.87

Will CPI exceed 3.0% in May 2026?

+$93.34

Will Apple hit $250 before July?

+$97.79

Will Dogecoin double in May 2026?

$49.57

Will the Lakers make the 2026 NBA playoffs?

$58.97

Category Breakdown
Economics+$375.80
Sports+$139.65
Crypto+$78.76
Financials+$13.12
Politics$54.11
Weather$131.90

Will the S&P 500 close above 6000 in May 2026?

+$114.05

Will US GDP growth exceed 2.5% in Q2 2026?

+$271.99

Will Ethereum ETF inflows exceed $1B in May?

+$146.26

Will NYC hit 95°F in June 2026?

+$71.70

Will the Lakers make the 2026 NBA playoffs?

+$91.60

Will unemployment rise above 4.5% in Q2 2026?

+$96.50

Will Tesla stock beat Q1 earnings estimates?

+$65.69

Will CPI exceed 3.0% in May 2026?

$10.47

Will Apple hit $250 before July?

$168.11

Will US add 150k+ jobs in May?

$132.55

Will US GDP growth exceed 2.5% in Q2 2026?

$54.66

Will oil stay above $80 through June?

$120.84

Will June rainfall exceed average in Texas?

+$47.53

Will Solana flip $200 in May?

$41.57

Will US add 150k+ jobs in May?

+$79.74

Will Celtics reach the 2026 NBA Finals?

$43.96

Will NYC hit 95°F in June 2026?

$10.57

Will Biden approval exceed 45% in June?

+$25.54